Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.001043 0.001186 0.001330 0.001484 0.001644 0.001806 0.001981
2026-01-18 0.000824 0.001030 0.001244 0.001480 0.001731 0.001987 0.002269
2026-01-25 0.000609 0.000856 0.001120 0.001420 0.001745 0.002083 0.002460
2026-02-01 0.000458 0.000734 0.001041 0.001397 0.001790 0.002206 0.002673
2026-02-08 0.000351 0.000649 0.000993 0.001401 0.001860 0.002350 0.002905
2026-02-15 0.000268 0.000582 0.000959 0.001416 0.001937 0.002498 0.003138
2026-02-22 0.000205 0.000531 0.000939 0.001443 0.002023 0.002653 0.003377
2026-03-01 0.000138 0.000462 0.000891 0.001433 0.002065 0.002757 0.003555
2026-03-08 0.000076 0.000386 0.000827 0.001399 0.002076 0.002823 0.003691
2026-03-15 0.000042 0.000344 0.000803 0.001410 0.002136 0.002943 0.003883
2026-03-22 0.000014 0.000296 0.000765 0.001401 0.002171 0.003031 0.004039
2026-03-29 0.000002 0.000266 0.000750 0.001420 0.002236 0.003153 0.004230
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000209 0.000702 0.001410 0.002286 0.003278 0.004449
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000157 0.000657 0.001402 0.002338 0.003407 0.004675
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000092 0.000574 0.001340 0.002324 0.003459 0.004814
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000052 0.000522 0.001316 0.002354 0.003561 0.005008
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000028 0.000492 0.001320 0.002416 0.003698 0.005242
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000013 0.000471 0.001334 0.002490 0.003849 0.005490
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000004 0.000459 0.001359 0.002576 0.004014 0.005753
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000424 0.001349 0.002617 0.004123 0.005951
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000377 0.001316 0.002626 0.004194 0.006104
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000360 0.001326 0.002690 0.004329 0.006329
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000332 0.001318 0.002728 0.004431 0.006516